Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulytau vs Okzhetpes

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulytau host Okzhetpes in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Ulytau have averaged 1.03 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Okzhetpes's 1.72 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Okzhetpes slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.94) back Okzhetpes to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ulytau
15%
Draws
64%
Okzhetpes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ulytau haven't matched Okzhetpes's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Okzhetpes a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 10%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau Okzhetpes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Ulytau
2:1
Jul 19, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Ulytau
1:0
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Okzhetpes
0:1
Aug 15, 2024 First League
Ulytau vs Okzhetpes
2:0
May 31, 2024 First League
Okzhetpes vs Ulytau
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 10 / 100
Okzhetpes 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau Okzhetpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulytau found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Okzhetpes conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Ulytau has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS Okzhetpes
1 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulytau

(Home)
18 Sept
Aktobe
2 : 2
Ulytau
13 Sept
Ulytau
0 : 3
Altai
06 Sept
Tobol
3 : 1
Ulytau
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
15 Aug
Kairat Almaty
3 : 1
Ulytau
Page 1 of 6

Okzhetpes

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 26 17 6 3 51:20 57
3 FC Astana 25 14 6 5 42:25 48
4 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
5 Aktobe 26 12 6 8 38:31 42
6 Yelimay Semey 25 10 8 7 35:33 38
7 Tobol 26 10 4 12 33:35 34
8 Zhenis 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Ertis Pavlodar 25 6 8 11 26:34 26
12 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
13 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
14 Kyzylzhar 26 6 6 14 26:40 24
15 Atyrau 25 4 11 10 18:28 23
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 5 7 14 26:44 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)