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Ulytau W vs Okzhetpes W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulytau W play Okzhetpes W in the League Women 2025. Ulytau W are favorites here. Recently, Ulytau W averaged 1.62 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Okzhetpes W averaged 0.67 goals scored and 7.27 conceded. In past meetings, Ulytau W won 2, Okzhetpes W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 25, 2025 ended 10:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.31 for Ulytau W and 2.31 for Okzhetpes W. This points to a Ulytau W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Ulytau W
15%
Draws
14%
Okzhetpes W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulytau W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulytau W picked up more points recently compared to Okzhetpes W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.31 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Ulytau W Clean Sheet 10%
Okzhetpes W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau W Okzhetpes W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 11 2
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 29
Goals Scored 1.62 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.17 7.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 6.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2025 League Women
Ulytau W vs Okzhetpes W
10:0
May 23, 2025 League Women
Okzhetpes W vs Ulytau W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulytau W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aisapar Z.
6 Goals
Assists Leader Sultan N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Okzhetpes W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau W 66 / 100
Okzhetpes W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau W Okzhetpes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulytau W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ulytau W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ulytau W attacking → ← attacking Okzhetpes W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulytau W scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Okzhetpes W let in goals in 97% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Ulytau W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Okzhetpes W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 8
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
4.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aktobe W262420225:574
2BIIK Shymkent W262321252:971
3Tomiris-Turan W261943107:2061
4Kyzylzhar W26161969:3949
5Yelimay Semey W26153867:5248
6Kairat W261511066:5646
7Ulytau W261241047:5440
8Zhenis Astana W261131251:6336
9FC Astana W26851346:5529
10Kaisar Kyzylorda W26841445:6328
11Tobol W26651527:11123
12Zhetysu W26422024:10414
13Atyrau W26212327:1817
14Okzhetpes W2601255:2461