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UM Escobedo vs CD Laredo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Arriola A.
56' Event
Gonzalez V.

AI Match Summary

CD Laredo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Laredo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
UM Escobedo
30%
Draws
23%
CD Laredo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UM Escobedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Laredo have won more games recently than UM Escobedo.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on UM Escobedo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 68%
CD Laredo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo CD Laredo
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 17
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.79 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs UM Escobedo
3:1
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Laredo
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs CD Laredo
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Laredo vs UM Escobedo
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
UM Escobedo vs CD Laredo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UM Escobedo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Laredo Compare

Top Goalscorer Arriola A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 95 / 100
CD Laredo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo CD Laredo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UM Escobedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UM Escobedo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CD Laredo let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

UM Escobedo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: CD Laredo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS CD Laredo
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UM Escobedo

(Home)
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1
UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0
CD Laredo
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7
UM Escobedo
03 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 2
Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 6

CD Laredo

(Away)
06 Sept
CD Laredo
1 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
22 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 0
Arenas Getxo
18 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Palencia CA
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)