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UM Escobedo vs San Martin Arena

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012 game between UM Escobedo and San Martin Arena finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UM Escobedo
6%
Draws
4%
San Martin Arena
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UM Escobedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UM Escobedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans UM Escobedo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 20%
San Martin Arena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo San Martin Arena
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 19 1
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 24
Goals Scored 2.25 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
San Martin Arena vs UM Escobedo
1:2
Oct 27, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs San Martin Arena
3:0
Feb 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs San Martin Arena
3:3
Oct 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
San Martin Arena vs UM Escobedo
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 85 / 100
San Martin Arena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo San Martin Arena

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Arena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: UM Escobedo scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: UM Escobedo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SD Noja382765102:3087
2CD Laredo38267585:4085
3Rayo Cantabria382212491:3078
4Cayon CD38239658:3678
5CD Tropezon38236984:4375
6UM Escobedo382081063:5068
7CD Siete Villas381981161:4965
8Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)3816111175:5359
9Barreda Balompie3813111458:6050
10Castro381461862:6348
11Guarnizo3811121559:5845
12Vimenor381361945:6545
13Pontejos3810111750:6541
14Ribamontan al Mar3810101841:7140
15Bezana389111843:6638
16Atletico Albericia389111850:6938
17San Martin Arena381042444:6834
18Buelna38892136:7633
19CD Barquereno38782335:7229
20Arenas De Frajanas38542930:10819