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UM Escobedo vs Selaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sanchez R.
Own Goal
44' Event
Acosta A.
64' Event
Sanchez R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between UM Escobedo and Selaya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UM Escobedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UM Escobedo
20%
Draws
51%
Selaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Selaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • UM Escobedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives UM Escobedo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 15%
Selaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo Selaya
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.59 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Selaya
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs UM Escobedo
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Selaya
3:1
Jan 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Selaya
2:0
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs UM Escobedo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UM Escobedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Acosta A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Selaya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 41 / 100
Selaya 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo Selaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UM Escobedo found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Selaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: UM Escobedo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS Selaya
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UM Escobedo

(Home)
10 Oct
UM Escobedo
2 : 3
CD Revilla
03 Oct
Solares
0 : 0
UM Escobedo
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
Selaya
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
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Selaya

(Away)
04 Oct
Selaya
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
Selaya
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 6 6 0 0 13:3 18
2 Bezana 6 5 1 0 12:4 16
3 CD Laredo 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
4 UD Samano 6 3 2 1 14:6 11
5 CD Revilla 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
6 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
7 Vimenor 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 6 2 0 4 5:13 6
11 Guarnizo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
12 Solares 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
13 Castro 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 UM Escobedo 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
15 Atletico Albericia 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
16 Velarde 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
17 Naval Reinosa 6 0 2 4 6:15 2
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)