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Umayya vs Al Karamah

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Ajayi J.
40' Event
Nayef M.
89' Event
Ajayi J.

AI Match Summary

Al Karamah in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Karamah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Umayya
6%
Draws
90%
Al Karamah
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Karamah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Karamah have won more games recently than Umayya.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al Karamah taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Umayya Clean Sheet 10%
Al Karamah Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umayya Al Karamah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Umayya
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Karamah
0:3
Apr 20, 2013 Premier League
Al Karamah vs Umayya
1:2
Mar 10, 2013 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Karamah
1:0
Mar 20, 2011 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Karamah
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umayya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Karamah Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajayi J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nayef M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umayya 10 / 100
Al Karamah 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umayya Al Karamah

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Umayya scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Al Karamah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Umayya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umayya VS Al Karamah
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117