Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umayya vs Al Shorta Prediction & H2H Stats

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Alaji A.
45' Event
Mohammed A.
90' Event
Kdrghli Y.

AI Match Summary

Al Shorta in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Shorta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Umayya
15%
Draws
46%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Shorta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Shorta lately — more wins on the board than Umayya.
  • Win probability leans Umayya's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Umayya Clean Sheet 20%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umayya Al Shorta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.9 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Shorta
1:2
Mar 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Umayya
2:2
Mar 30, 2014 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Shorta
2:1
Feb 2, 2014 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Shorta
0:2
Apr 22, 2011 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Shorta
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umayya Compare

Top Goalscorer Kdrghli Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Shorta Compare

Top Goalscorer Alaji A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mohammed A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umayya 36 / 100
Al Shorta 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umayya Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Umayya scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Al Shorta let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Umayya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umayya VS Al Shorta
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Umayya

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

Al Shorta

(Away)
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
13 Jun
Al Shorta
2 : 0
Al-Shouleh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)