Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umayya vs Al Wahda

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Barakat A.
65' Event
Muhtadi M. R.
69' Event
Junaid M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Umayya and Al Wahda finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Wahda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Umayya
33%
Draws
40%
Al Wahda
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Wahda come out ahead of Umayya on wins alone.
  • Al Wahda are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Umayya Clean Sheet 16%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umayya Al Wahda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Wahda
1:3
Dec 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Umayya
0:0
Jun 3, 2011 Premier League
Al Wahda vs Umayya
0:0
Feb 18, 2011 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Wahda
0:0
Feb 12, 2010 Premier League
Umayya vs Al Wahda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umayya Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhtadi M. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Wahda Compare

Top Goalscorer Barakat A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Junaid M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umayya 28 / 100
Al Wahda 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umayya Al Wahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Umayya scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Wahda conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Umayya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umayya VS Al Wahda
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umayya

(Home)
04 Jul
Al Karamah
2 : 1
Umayya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al-Shouleh
0 : 1
Umayya
19 Jun
Umayya
1 : 0
Al Taliya
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
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Al Wahda

(Away)
03 Jul
Al-Shouleh
0 : 2
Al Wahda
27 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Tishreen
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 1
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
14 Jun
Al Taliya
0 : 1
Al Wahda
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117
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