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Stadium Background

Umea FC Akademi vs Algarna-Harnosand

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Nistor D.
78' Event
Larsson A.
90'
Lampariello P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2024 game between Umea FC Akademi and Algarna-Harnosand finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Umea FC Akademi
6%
Draws
4%
Algarna-Harnosand
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Umea FC Akademi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Umea FC Akademi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Umea FC Akademi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 20%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi Algarna-Harnosand
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 6 3
Draws 8 4
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 2.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Algarna-Harnosand
1:1
May 4, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Umea FC Akademi
3:3
Jun 22, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Umea FC Akademi
2:1
Apr 9, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Algarna-Harnosand
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Nistor D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 85 / 100
Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi Algarna-Harnosand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UME Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Algarna-Harnosand's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Algarna-Harnosand has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Umea FC Akademi scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FC Akademi

(Home)
21 Jun
Skelleftea
4 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
15 Jun
Umea FC Akademi
3 : 3
IFK Umea
08 Jun
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
03 Jun
Umea FC Akademi
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
30 May
Umea FC Akademi
1 : 1
Boden
Page 1 of 7

Algarna-Harnosand

(Away)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Umea FF26213286:1966
2Boden26213275:2466
3Bergnasets AIK26162853:4650
4Skelleftea26145754:3247
5IFK Ostersund26135850:3544
6Ytterhogdal26135844:3644
7IFK Lulea26117840:4140
8Gottne IF261061044:3736
9Umea FC Akademi26831540:6227
10Kiruna26751423:4926
11Lucksta IF26741543:6225
12Taftea IK26731638:5624
13Froso IF26422033:7814
14Algarna-Harnosand26232134:809
15Sandvik00000:00
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)