Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umea FC Akademi vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Amine Hejai S.
78' Event
Eltoft A.
90'
Bandling H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Umea FC Akademi and Boden finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Umea FC Akademi
11%
Draws
80%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Boden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Boden are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 12%
Boden Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi Boden
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Boden
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Umea FC Akademi
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Umea FC Akademi
7:1
Jun 2, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Boden
2:3
Aug 13, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Umea FC Akademi
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Eltoft A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer Amine Hejai S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 11 / 100
Boden 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi Boden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Boden conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Umea FC Akademi found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Umea FC Akademi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS Boden
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329