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Umea FC Akademi vs Stode

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2022
Sun, May 22, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umea FC Akademi play Stode in the Division 2 - Norrland 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Umea FC Akademi averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Stode averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3.25 conceded. In past meetings, Umea FC Akademi won 1, Stode won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 11, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Umea FC Akademi and 1.81 for Stode. This points to a Umea FC Akademi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Umea FC Akademi
26%
Draws
20%
Stode
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Umea FC Akademi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Umea FC Akademi picked up more points recently compared to Stode.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 11%
Stode Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 86%
Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi Stode
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 6 0
Draws 6 1
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 1.4 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.53 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Stode vs Umea FC Akademi
0:0
May 22, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Stode
0:0
Aug 22, 2021 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Stode
1:2
Jun 12, 2021 Division 2 - Norrland
Stode vs Umea FC Akademi
3:2
Oct 10, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Stode
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 51 / 100
Stode 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi Stode

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Akademi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Umea FC Akademi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.37
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Umea FC Akademi attacking → ← attacking Stode

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC Akademi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Stode let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Umea FC Akademi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Stode lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 1
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Boden26193458:2160
2Friska Viljor26184465:3058
3IFK Lulea26173652:2654
4Skelleftea26157466:2952
5Gottne IF26144861:3846
6IFK Ostersund261331046:2942
7Storfors AIK261221248:4338
8Kiruna261061034:3936
9Algarna-Harnosand261001638:6030
10Ytterhogdal26841444:6328
11Sandvik26751435:5926
12Bergnasets AIK26711835:6022
13Sund IF26641630:5622
14Umea FC Akademi26222225:848
15Stode00000:00