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Umea FC Akademi vs Storfors AIK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Juneblad M.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Larsson A.
72' Event
Johansson V.

AI Match Summary

Umea FC Akademi in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umea FC Akademi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Umea FC Akademi
15%
Draws
45%
Storfors AIK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Storfors AIK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Storfors AIK have won more games recently than Umea FC Akademi.
  • Umea FC Akademi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%
Storfors AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi Storfors AIK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.9 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs Umea FC Akademi
3:2
Sep 5, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Storfors AIK
3:1
May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Storfors AIK vs Umea FC Akademi
3:3
Apr 11, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Storfors AIK
2:1
Oct 9, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Storfors AIK
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Larsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johansson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Storfors AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Richard O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 83 / 100
Storfors AIK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi Storfors AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Akademi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Umea FC Akademi scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Storfors AIK let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Umea FC Akademi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS Storfors AIK
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FC Akademi

(Home)
10 Oct
Storfors AIK
3 : 2
Umea FC Akademi
30 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
6 : 0
IFK Umea
26 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 1
Umea FC Akademi
19 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
4 : 2
Umea FF
12 Sept
Friska Viljor
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
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Storfors AIK

(Away)
10 Oct
Storfors AIK
3 : 2
Umea FC Akademi
04 Oct
Fransta IK
0 : 1
Storfors AIK
26 Sept
Storfors AIK
0 : 3
Friska Viljor
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 10 7 1 2 27:15 34
2 Umea FC Akademi 10 5 1 4 29:18 27
3 Storfors AIK 10 6 1 3 18:13 27
4 Fransta IK 10 5 1 4 22:21 25
5 Umea FF 10 4 1 5 21:23 24
6 IFK Umea 10 0 1 9 9:36 5
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation)