Sport Picks
Umea FC vs FBK Karlstad
Sweden
Division 1 - Norra Umea Energi Arena, Umea 
AI Match Summary
Umea FC host FBK Karlstad in the Division 1 - Norra. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. FBK Karlstad have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Umea FC have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.48. Head-to-head, Umea FC have won 2 to FBK Karlstad's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.69, favoring FBK Karlstad. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- FBK Karlstad have won more games recently than Umea FC.
- Win probability leans Umea FC's way, sitting at 36%.
- Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Umea FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umea FC | FBK Karlstad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Umea FC scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Umea FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
FBK Karlstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Umea FC
(Home)FBK Karlstad
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 55:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammarby TFF | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 45 |
| 3 | AFC Eskilstuna | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 41:30 | 43 |
| 4 | FC Arlanda | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 40:27 | 42 |
| 5 | Karlstad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:23 | 39 |
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36:32 | 39 |
| 7 | Enkopings SK | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 37:38 | 39 |
| 8 | Assyriska FF | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 42:40 | 32 |
| 9 | Gefle | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:41 | 30 |
| 10 | Umea FC | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31:37 | 29 |
| 11 | Karlbergs | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 29:38 | 28 |
| 12 | Sollentuna | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 21:31 | 24 |
| 13 | Vasalund | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | 24 |
| 14 | Pitea | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 27:44 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Jarfalla | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 30:50 | 18 |
| 16 | IFK Stocksund | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 44:60 | 14 |
