Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umea FC vs Skelleftea

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umea FC in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umea FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Umea FC
6%
Draws
90%
Skelleftea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Skelleftea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Skelleftea have won more games recently than Umea FC.
  • Skelleftea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Umea FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 13%
Skelleftea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Skelleftea
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 6 10
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs Skelleftea
5:0
Jul 28, 2024 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs Skelleftea
5:0
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Umea FC vs Skelleftea
4:0
Aug 27, 2018 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Skelleftea
1:0
May 31, 2018 Division 1 - Norra
Skelleftea vs Umea FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC 10 / 100
Skelleftea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Skelleftea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SKE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Skelleftea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Umea FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC VS Skelleftea
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FC

(Home)
28 Jun
Umea FC
1 : 3
FC Jarfalla
21 Jun
Enkopings SK
3 : 1
Umea FC
12 Jun
Umea FC
2 : 0
Pitea
07 Jun
Sollentuna
1 : 1
Umea FC
31 May
Umea FC
2 : 2
IFK Stocksund
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Skelleftea

(Away)
27 Jun
IFK Lulea
0 : 1
Skelleftea
21 Jun
Skelleftea
4 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
13 Jun
Boden
1 : 1
Skelleftea
06 Jun
Skelleftea
3 : 0
IFK Umea
03 Jun
Storfors AIK
1 : 3
Skelleftea
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