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Umea FC vs Vasalund - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Umea Energi Arena, Umea
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Bawa Z.
28' Event
Bawa Z.
Assist: Forsman S.
32' Event
Khan A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between Umea FC and Vasalund finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umea FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Umea FC
20%
Draws
29%
Vasalund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umea FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Umea FC come out ahead of Vasalund on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Umea FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 16%
Vasalund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Vasalund
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Vasalund
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Umea FC
3:1
Aug 18, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Vasalund vs Umea FC
1:2
May 25, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Vasalund
1:1
Sep 24, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Vasalund
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bawa Z.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Forsman S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vasalund Compare

Top Goalscorer Khan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC 84 / 100
Vasalund 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Vasalund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vasalund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Umea FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC VS Vasalund
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
20 Sept
IFK Stocksund
0 : 3
Umea FC
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
Umea FC
0 : 4
FC Stockholm Internazionale
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Vasalund

(Away)
10 Oct
Karlbergs
3 : 3
Vasalund
04 Oct
Vasalund
1 : 4
FC Arlanda
27 Sept
Gefle
0 : 1
Vasalund
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0
Hammarby TFF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 19 3 4 63:21 60
2 FC Arlanda 26 14 6 6 46:31 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
6 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
7 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
8 Karlbergs 26 9 6 11 36:44 33
9 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
10 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)