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Umea FF vs IFK Ostersund

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland Umea Energi Arena SOL, Umea
Umea FF Logo

Umea FF

1 - 1
FT
IFK Ostersund Logo

IFK Ostersund

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Talsi S.
90' Event
Ronnlund W.
90'
Abdelrahman H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Umea FF and IFK Ostersund finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Umea FF
15%
Draws
53%
IFK Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IFK Ostersund come out ahead of Umea FF on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans IFK Ostersund's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Umea FF Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FF IFK Ostersund
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.83 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs IFK Ostersund
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Umea FF
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Umea FF
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs IFK Ostersund
2:1
Aug 20, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs IFK Ostersund
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ronnlund W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

IFK Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Talsi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FF 10 / 100
IFK Ostersund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FF IFK Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Ostersund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FF scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

IFK Ostersund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Umea FF stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FF VS IFK Ostersund
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FF

(Home)
19 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
4 : 2
Umea FF
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
29 Aug
Friska Viljor
1 : 4
Umea FF
21 Aug
Umea FF
4 : 0
IFK Umea
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IFK Ostersund

(Away)
20 Sept
Taftea IK
2 : 1
IFK Ostersund
16 Sept
IFK Ostersund
4 : 0
Gottne IF
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
30 Aug
IFK Ostersund
6 : 2
Taftea IK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)