Sport Picks

Sweden

Elitettan Women 2013

Sundsvall W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Umea Sodra W play Sundsvall W in the Elitettan Women 2013. It looks like a close match. Recently, Umea Sodra W averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.73 conceded. Sundsvall W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Umea Sodra W won 2, Sundsvall W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 7, 2013 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Umea Sodra W and 1.05 for Sundsvall W. This points to a Sundsvall W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Umea Sodra W

15%

Draws

43%

Sundsvall W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sundsvall W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Umea Sodra W picked up more points recently compared to Sundsvall W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 66%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Umea Sodra W Clean Sheet 22%

Sundsvall W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Umea Sodra W	Sundsvall W
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	5
Draws	2	8
Losses	21	17
Goals Scored	0.93	0.9
Goals Conceded	2.73	2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2013 Elitettan Women

Umea Sodra W vs Sundsvall W

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Jun 14, 2013 Elitettan Women

Sundsvall W vs Umea Sodra W

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 0 - 1

0:2

Aug 1, 2012 Elitettan Women

Umea Sodra W vs Sundsvall W

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

4:7

Jun 20, 2012 Elitettan Women

Sundsvall W vs Umea Sodra W

Possession: 41% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Sep 3, 2011 Elitettan Women

Umea Sodra W vs Sundsvall W

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea Sodra W 42 / 100

Sundsvall W 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Umea Sodra W Sundsvall W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sundsvall W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.2%

1.67

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Umea Sodra W attacking → ← attacking Sundsvall W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea Sodra W scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Sundsvall W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Umea Sodra W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Sundsvall W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 23

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eskilstuna United W	26	18	6	2	55:21	60
2	AIK W	26	18	4	4	53:24	58
3	Sirius W	26	15	7	4	52:16	52
4	Hammarby W	26	12	10	4	48:29	46
5	Kvarnsvedens W	26	11	6	9	28:23	39
6	Umea Sodra W	26	11	5	10	34:37	38
7	Alta W	26	10	6	10	39:33	36
8	QBIK Karlstad W	26	10	6	10	32:34	36
9	Djurgarden W	26	8	6	12	36:49	30
10	Hovas W	26	8	3	15	35:46	27
11	Bunkeflo W	26	7	6	13	33:49	27
12	Kalmar W	26	6	6	14	31:43	24
13	Oster W	26	6	6	14	23:42	24
14	Sundsvall W	26	2	3	21	21:74	9