Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umea W vs Elfsborg W

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women Umea Energi Arena, Umea
Umea W Logo

Umea W

1 - 1
FT
Elfsborg W Logo

Elfsborg W

Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Nystrom L.
46'
Sub
Nystrom L. In: Jensen S.
Out: Nystrom L.
46'
Sub
Josefsson M. In: Olausson T.
Out: Josefsson M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elitettan Women game between Umea W and Elfsborg W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Umea W
20%
Draws
40%
Elfsborg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Elfsborg W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Umea W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Umea W Clean Sheet 13%
Elfsborg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea W Elfsborg W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 21
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.9 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Elfsborg W
1:1
Jul 25, 2026 Elitettan Women
Elfsborg W vs Umea W
4:1
Nov 15, 2025 Elitettan Women
Elfsborg W vs Umea W
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Elfsborg W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nygren A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Elfsborg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Loren T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea W 40 / 100
Elfsborg W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea W Elfsborg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Umea W scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Umea W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Elfsborg W conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Umea W VS Elfsborg W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea W

(Home)
06 Sept
Umea W
1 : 1
Elfsborg W
29 Aug
KIF Orebro W
2 : 1
Umea W
22 Aug
Umea W
1 : 0
Gamla Upsala W
15 Aug
Umea W
2 : 0
Jitex W
11 Aug
Sjalevads W
0 : 6
Umea W
Page 1 of 7

Elfsborg W

(Away)
06 Sept
Umea W
1 : 1
Elfsborg W
28 Aug
Elfsborg W
2 : 1
Hacken B W
21 Aug
Elfsborg W
0 : 2
KIF Orebro W
15 Aug
Enskede W
0 : 5
Elfsborg W
08 Aug
Sandviken W
0 : 4
Elfsborg W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IFK Goteborg W 18 12 5 1 48:17 41
2 Elfsborg W 18 12 5 1 35:9 41
3 Linkoping W 18 12 3 3 36:23 39
4 KIF Orebro W 18 12 2 4 36:23 38
5 Umea W 18 8 4 6 28:22 28
6 Trelleborg W 18 7 5 6 25:27 26
7 Husqvarna W 18 7 4 7 26:28 25
8 Jitex W 18 5 5 8 20:26 20
9 Orebro SK W 18 5 5 8 20:26 20
10 Enskede W 18 5 4 9 25:31 19
11 Alingsas W 18 4 6 8 16:25 18
12 Gamla Upsala W 18 4 4 10 20:31 16
13 Sandviken W 18 2 5 11 19:46 11
14 Hacken B W 18 2 1 15 18:38 7
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)