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Umea W vs Gamla Upsala W Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women Umea Energi Arena, Umea
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Match Events

23'
Tomic L.
53'
Miettunen A.
64'
Sub
Sterner S. In: Karlsson H.
Out: Sterner S.

AI Match Summary

Umea W in this Elitettan Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Umea W
20%
Draws
28%
Gamla Upsala W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Gamla Upsala W haven't matched Umea W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Umea W a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Elitettan Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Umea W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Umea W Clean Sheet 20%
Gamla Upsala W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea W Gamla Upsala W
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.29 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Gamla Upsala W
1:0
May 9, 2026 Elitettan Women
Gamla Upsala W vs Umea W
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Gamla Upsala W
4:0
Jun 7, 2025 Elitettan Women
Gamla Upsala W vs Umea W
0:5
Nov 10, 2024 Elitettan Women
Gamla Upsala W vs Umea W
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorlen T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Gamla Upsala W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea W 85 / 100
Gamla Upsala W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea W Gamla Upsala W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gamla Upsala W conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Solid form: Umea W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Umea W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Umea W VS Gamla Upsala W
3 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea W

(Home)
26 Sept
Sandviken W
1 : 2
Umea W
23 Sept
Sandviken W
2 : 6
Umea W
20 Sept
Umea W
5 : 1
Enskede W
12 Sept
Hacken B W
0 : 2
Umea W
06 Sept
Umea W
1 : 1
Elfsborg W
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Gamla Upsala W

(Away)
26 Sept
Husqvarna W
1 : 0
Gamla Upsala W
20 Sept
Gamla Upsala W
1 : 1
Alingsas W
13 Sept
Orebro SK W
0 : 1
Gamla Upsala W
09 Sept
Hammarby W
5 : 0
Gamla Upsala W
05 Sept
Jitex W
1 : 2
Gamla Upsala W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elfsborg W 20 13 6 1 37:10 45
2 KIF Orebro W 20 14 2 4 43:25 44
3 IFK Goteborg W 20 12 6 2 50:23 42
4 Linkoping W 21 13 3 5 39:28 42
5 Umea W 20 10 4 6 35:24 34
6 Trelleborg W 20 9 5 6 28:27 32
7 Husqvarna W 20 8 4 8 28:30 28
8 Jitex W 21 7 6 8 28:30 27
9 Orebro SK W 20 6 5 9 23:30 23
10 Alingsas W 20 4 7 9 17:27 19
11 Enskede W 20 5 4 11 27:38 19
12 Gamla Upsala W 20 4 5 11 21:33 17
13 Sandviken W 20 2 5 13 20:49 11
14 Hacken B W 20 2 2 16 20:42 8
Promotion - Allsvenskan Women 2027 (Main)
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