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Umea W vs Kristianstad W

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 Umea Energi Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umea W play Kristianstad W in the Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Umea W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. Kristianstad W averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, Umea W won 0, Kristianstad W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 16, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Umea W and 1.50 for Kristianstad W. This points to a Kristianstad W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Umea W
32%
Draws
37%
Kristianstad W
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Kristianstad W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Umea W picked up more points recently compared to Kristianstad W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Umea W Clean Sheet 16%
Kristianstad W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea W Kristianstad W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Svenska Cupen Women
Umea W vs Kristianstad W
0:0
Nov 5, 2022 Allsvenskan Women
Kristianstad W vs Umea W
4:1
May 30, 2022 Allsvenskan Women
Umea W vs Kristianstad W
0:2
Oct 19, 2020 Allsvenskan Women
Umea W vs Kristianstad W
0:4
Aug 2, 2020 Allsvenskan Women
Kristianstad W vs Umea W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea W 31 / 100
Kristianstad W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea W Kristianstad W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kristianstad W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Umea W attacking → ← attacking Kristianstad W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Kristianstad W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Umea W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Kristianstad W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 43
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hacken W330017:09
2AIK W32013:46
3Linkoping W31024:43
4Gefle W30031:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hammarby W32109:27
2Rosengard W31114:54
3Vaxjo DFF W30214:72
4Vittsjo W30213:62
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kristianstad W32106:37
2Pitea W32019:56
3Malmo FF W31027:73
4Umea W30121:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Djurgarden W33006:29
2Norrkoping W32015:56
3IF Brommapojkarna W31027:23
4Alingsas W30031:100