Sport Picks
Umea W vs Malmo FF W
Sweden
Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 Umea Energi Arena, Umea 
Match Events
29'
29'
D'Aquila I.
33'
33'
Skoog T.
53'
53'
Sayer A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-4, with Malmo FF W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Umea W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Malmo FF W come out ahead of Umea W on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Umea W's way, sitting at 70%.
- Malmo FF W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Malmo FF W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Malmo FF W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Umea W Clean Sheet 20%
Malmo FF W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umea W | Malmo FF W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Svenska Cupen Women
Umea W vs Malmo FF W
1:4
Aug 17, 2024 Elitettan Women
Umea W vs Malmo FF W
2:3
Apr 13, 2024 Elitettan Women
Malmo FF W vs Umea W
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Umea W Compare
Top Goalscorer Westbom L. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Malmo FF W Compare
Top Goalscorer D'Aquila I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Skoog T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umea W 67 / 100
Malmo FF W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umea W Malmo FF W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Umea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.
Umea W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Umea W found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Malmo FF W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Umea W VS Malmo FF W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Umea W
(Home) 22 Aug
Umea W
1 : 0 Gamla Upsala W
15 Aug
Umea W
2 : 0 Jitex W
11 Aug
Sjalevads W
0 : 6 Umea W
08 Aug
Husqvarna W
1 : 2 Umea W
01 Aug
Umea W
1 : 1 IFK Goteborg W
Page 1 of 7
22 Aug
Umea W
1 : 0 Gamla Upsala W
15 Aug
Umea W
2 : 0 Jitex W
01 Aug
Umea W
1 : 1 IFK Goteborg W
14 Jun
Umea W
1 : 2 Linkoping W
30 May
Umea W
0 : 2 Trelleborg W
Page 1 of 4
Malmo FF W
(Away) 21 Aug
Malmo FF W
1 : 1 Hammarby W
15 Aug
IK Uppsala Fotboll W
0 : 6 Malmo FF W
08 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt W
2 : 0 Malmo FF W
05 Aug
Valerenga W
0 : 1 Malmo FF W
31 Jul
Malmo FF W
0 : 0 Pitea W
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
IK Uppsala Fotboll W
0 : 6 Malmo FF W
08 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt W
2 : 0 Malmo FF W
05 Aug
Valerenga W
0 : 1 Malmo FF W
27 Jul
Vittsjo W
1 : 0 Malmo FF W
17 Jun
Djurgarden W
0 : 1 Malmo FF W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hacken W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17:0 | 9 |
| 2 | AIK W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Linkoping W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Gefle W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:17 | 0 |
Promotion - Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hammarby W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Rosengard W | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Vaxjo DFF W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Vittsjo W | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | 2 |
Promotion - Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kristianstad W | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Pitea W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Malmo FF W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Umea W | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Djurgarden W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Norrkoping W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 3 | IF Brommapojkarna W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Alingsas W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Svenska Cupen Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
