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UMECIT vs Saprissa

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya, San Miguelito
UMECIT Logo

UMECIT

1 - 2
FT
Saprissa Logo

Saprissa

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Waston K.
44'
Garcia A.
45' Event
Torres M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UMECIT
20%
Draws
40%
Saprissa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Saprissa come out ahead of UMECIT on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Saprissa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Saprissa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
UMECIT Clean Sheet 68%
Saprissa Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UMECIT Saprissa
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 12 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.39 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
UMECIT vs Saprissa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UMECIT Compare

Top Goalscorer Saldana A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Saprissa Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sinclair O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UMECIT 41 / 100
Saprissa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UMECIT Saprissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UMECIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UMECIT's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Saprissa conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

UMECIT has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UMECIT VS Saprissa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UMECIT

(Home)
13 Sept
Herrera
1 : 3
UMECIT
08 Sept
UMECIT
2 : 0
Independiente
01 Sept
UMECIT
1 : 1
Veraguas
23 Aug
Plaza Amador
3 : 0
UMECIT
20 Aug
Deportivo Mixco
4 : 1
UMECIT
Page 1 of 6

Saprissa

(Away)
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
13 Sept
Sporting FC
4 : 2
Saprissa
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
31 Aug
Saprissa
2 : 1
Escorpiones
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)