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LPF Cancha de fútbol de Atalaya

Union Cocle

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UMECIT play Union Cocle in the LPF. It looks like a close match. Recently, UMECIT averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. Union Cocle averaged 1 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, UMECIT won 1, Union Cocle won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for UMECIT and 0.81 for Union Cocle. This points to a UMECIT double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

UMECIT

35%

Draws

29%

Union Cocle

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UMECIT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

UMECIT picked up more points recently compared to Union Cocle.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%

UMECIT Clean Sheet 26%

Union Cocle Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UMECIT	Union Cocle
Matches Played	31	17
Wins	11	5
Draws	13	8
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	1.48	1
Goals Conceded	1.29	0.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 LPF

Union Cocle vs UMECIT

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Mar 17, 2026 LPF

UMECIT vs Union Cocle

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UMECIT Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmezano A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Union Cocle Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UMECIT 38 / 100

Union Cocle 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UMECIT Union Cocle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UMECIT or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UMECIT attacking → ← attacking Union Cocle

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UMECIT scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Union Cocle let in goals in 53% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

UMECIT went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Union Cocle lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 23

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	16	9	4	3	28:16	31
2	Alianza	16	6	9	1	26:20	27
3	UMECIT	16	6	7	3	28:20	25
4	Tauro	16	5	6	5	22:19	21
5	Arabe Unido	16	6	3	7	16:20	21
6	Sporting San Miguelito	16	4	6	6	19:21	18

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Veraguas	16	7	4	5	26:23	25
2	Union Cocle	16	5	8	3	16:11	23
3	Independiente	16	4	8	4	18:14	20
4	San Francisco	16	5	5	6	22:25	20
5	Union Deportivo Universitario	16	3	5	8	19:27	14
6	Herrera	16	1	5	10	13:37	8