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Umm Al Hassam vs Qalali Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Bahrain Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
64' Event
90'

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Umm Al Hassam advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Umm Al Hassam
15%
Draws
0%
Qalali
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Al Hassam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Qalali come out ahead of Umm Al Hassam on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Umm Al Hassam's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Qalali arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Umm Al Hassam, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Umm Al Hassam Clean Sheet 68%
Qalali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm Al Hassam Qalali
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 0 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 0.75 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2022 Bahrain Cup
Umm Al Hassam vs Qalali
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm Al Hassam 95 / 100
Qalali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm Al Hassam Qalali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umm Al Hassam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Qalali registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Qalali has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Umm Al Hassam's goal record stands at 33% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Umm Al Hassam VS Qalali
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm Al Hassam

(Home)
11 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 2
Al Hala
25 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 1
Al Reef
24 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
2 : 1
East Riffa
14 Jan
Umm Al Hassam
0 : 3
Al Shabbab
07 Dec
Al Ahli
4 : 0
Umm Al Hassam
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Qalali

(Away)
24 Jan
Al Hala
3 : 0
Qalali
17 Jan
Busaiteen
2 : 0
Qalali
13 Jan
Qalali
2 : 7
Al Ahli
08 Dec
Al Muharraq
1 : 0
Qalali
18 Nov
Al Muharraq
8 : 0
Qalali
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hidd 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Al Riffa 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
3 Ali CSC 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
4 Al Ittihad 5 2 0 3 8:9 6
5 Isa Town 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
6 Al Budaiya 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manama Club 5 5 0 0 17:2 15
2 Al Ahli 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
3 Busaiteen 5 3 0 2 10:11 9
4 Al Reef 5 2 1 2 7:11 7
5 Al Najma 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
6 Al Ittifaq 5 0 0 5 4:15 0
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Khalidiyah 5 5 0 0 14:0 15
2 Al Shabbab 5 3 1 1 10:2 10
3 Al Hala 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
4 Umm Al Hassam 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
5 Qalali 5 1 1 3 2:9 4
6 Malkia 5 1 0 4 2:15 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain SC 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
2 Bouri 5 2 2 1 5:5 8
3 East Riffa 5 2 1 2 8:3 7
4 Al Muharraq 5 2 1 2 13:10 7
5 Sitra 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
6 Tadamun Buri 5 1 0 4 4:18 3
Promotion - Bahrain Cup 2022/2023 (Main)