Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025 game between Umm Mughad and Kober finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umm Mughad.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm Mughad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kober come out ahead of Umm Mughad on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Umm Mughad taking it.
- Regular Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Umm Mughad Clean Sheet 20%
Kober Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umm Mughad | Kober |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.79 | 0.65 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 4, 2025 Premier League
Umm Mughad vs Kober
2:1
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Kober vs Umm Mughad
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umm Mughad 36 / 100
Kober 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umm Mughad Kober
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Umm Mughad's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 23 recent games.
Kober's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Kober lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Umm Mughad VS Kober
2 Goals Scored 0.29
1 Goals Conceded 1.57
100% Over 1.5 29%
38% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Umm Mughad
(Home) 09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1 Umm Mughad
01 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 0 Umm Mughad
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3 Al-Hilal Omdurman II
Page 1 of 5
09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1 Alfalah Atbra
28 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 1 Hilal El-Fasher
24 May
Umm Mughad
0 : 3 Al-Hilal Omdurman II
15 May
Umm Mughad
2 : 0 Hay Al Wadi
04 Feb
Umm Mughad
2 : 0 Rabita Kosti
Page 1 of 3
Kober
(Away) 14 Feb
Al Shorta
1 : 0 Kober
10 Feb
Kober
1 : 0 Al Taqadom
07 Feb
Kober
0 : 0 Al-Mergheni
04 Feb
Kober
0 : 1 Hilal Alsahil
01 Feb
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
5 : 1 Kober
Page 1 of 7
14 Feb
Al Shorta
1 : 0 Kober
01 Feb
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
5 : 1 Kober
27 Jan
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
1 : 0 Kober
19 Jan
Al Taqadom
1 : 0 Kober
14 Jan
Al-Mergheni
1 : 1 Kober
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Mergheni | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Hilal Alsahil | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Al Hilal Manaqil | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Hay al-Arab | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 6 | Wad Nobawi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Merreikh Obeid | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 19 |
| 2 | Zamala Ruwaba | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Rabita Kosti | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Hilal El-Fasher | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 5 | Haidob Al Nuhod | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 6 | Merikh Nyala | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hay Al Wadi | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Umm Mughad | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Al-Ahly Merowe | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Kober | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Zoma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | Tuti | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madani | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 16 |
| 2 | Alamal SC Atbara | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ahli Khartoum | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 4 | Alfalah Atbra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 5 | Ahli Shendi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2:7 | 5 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Premier League 2025 (Championship Group)
