Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umm-Salal vs Al Bidda

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Hassan M. In: Al Balushi A.
Out: Hassan M.
61'
Hussein Athab S.
64'
Sub
Jarrar Y. In: Cristo
Out: Jarrar Y.

AI Match Summary

Umm-Salal in this QSL Cup tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Umm-Salal
33%
Draws
27%
Al Bidda
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Umm-Salal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Umm-Salal have won more games recently than Al Bidda.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Umm-Salal taking it.
  • Umm-Salal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Umm-Salal, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Bidda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm-Salal Al Bidda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al Bidda
2:0
May 7, 2024 Emir Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al Bidda
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umm-Salal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mance A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cristo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Al Bidda Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm-Salal 40 / 100
Al Bidda 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm-Salal Al Bidda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UMM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm-Salal found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Al Bidda has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Al Bidda registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umm-Salal VS Al Bidda
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm-Salal

(Home)
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3
Al Ahli
08 Apr
Al Rayyan
3 : 0
Umm-Salal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
28 Mar
Al Rayyan
4 : 3
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

Al Bidda

(Away)
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 1
Al Bidda
18 Apr
Al Bidda
3 : 4
Muaither SC
05 Apr
Al Bidda
0 : 2
Al-Waab
24 Mar
Umm-Salal
2 : 0
Al Bidda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Rayyan-
TBD-
Al-Shahaniya1
Shamal0
Umm-Salal-
TBD-
Al Sailiya1
Al Bidda3
Muaither SC2
Al-Kharitiyath0
Al Markhiya2
Al Khor1
Al Arabi (Qatar)3
Qatar SC2
Al-Waab3
Al Mesaimeer1
Quarter-finals
Al Rayyan3
Al-Shahaniya0
Umm-Salal2
Al Bidda0
Muaither SC3
Al Markhiya2
Al Arabi (Qatar)3
Al-Waab1
Semi-finals
Al Rayyan4
Umm-Salal3
Muaither SC4
Al Arabi (Qatar)3
Final
Al Rayyan2
Muaither SC0