Sport Picks
Match Events
53'
53'
Sheikh A.
68'
68'
Sheikh A.
68'
68'
Hagana A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umm-Salal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Umm-Salal come out ahead of Al Khor on wins alone.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Umm-Salal taking it.
- Umm-Salal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al Khor, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khor Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umm-Salal | Al Khor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 29, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Khor vs Umm-Salal
0:2
Sep 7, 2026 QSL 2
Umm-Salal vs Al Khor
1:5
Sep 24, 2025 QSL Cup
Umm-Salal vs Al Khor
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 QSL
Al Khor vs Umm-Salal
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Al Khor
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Umm-Salal Compare
Top Goalscorer Sheikh A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Al Khor Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdullah M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umm-Salal 67 / 100
Al Khor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umm-Salal Al Khor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Umm-Salal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Khor has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Umm-Salal's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Umm-Salal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Umm-Salal VS Al Khor
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Umm-Salal
(Home) 29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2 Umm-Salal
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0 Al Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5 Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2 Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1 Qatar U23
Page 1 of 7
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0 Al Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5 Al Khor
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1 Qatar U23
27 Apr
Umm-Salal
1 : 3 Al Ahli
24 Mar
Umm-Salal
2 : 0 Al Bidda
Page 1 of 4
Al Khor
(Away) 29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2 Umm-Salal
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0 Al Khor
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5 Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Kharitiyath
3 : 1 Al Khor
23 Aug
Al Khor
0 : 3 Al Markhiya
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Muaither SC
2 : 0 Al Khor
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5 Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Kharitiyath
3 : 1 Al Khor
12 Apr
Al Kharitiyath
2 : 2 Al Khor
15 Mar
Al Waab
1 : 2 Al Khor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 32:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Umm-Salal | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Muaither SC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 27:16 | 19 |
| 5 | Al Waab | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Markhiya | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Sailiya | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Shahaniya | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Shamal | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Bidda | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Khor | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 12 | Al Mesaimeer | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Qatar SC | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Al Kharitiyath | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Al Ahli | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Al Duhail | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 9 |
| 17 | Lusail | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 15:26 | 7 |
| 18 | Al Wakra | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 6 |
| 19 | Al Gharafa | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:22 | 5 |
| 20 | Al Sadd | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 18:31 | 5 |
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - QSL Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
