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Umm-Salal vs Qatar SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

13'
Diouf S.
46'
Sub
Diouf S. In: Danzabe R.
Out: Diouf S.
54'
Tahif A.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Umm-Salal and Qatar SC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Umm-Salal
35%
Draws
15%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Umm-Salal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Umm-Salal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Umm-Salal taking it.
  • Regular QSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Umm-Salal Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umm-Salal Qatar SC
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.32 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Qatar SC
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 QSL Cup
Qatar SC vs Umm-Salal
6:1
Oct 26, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Umm-Salal
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Umm-Salal
2:2
Sep 27, 2024 QSL
Umm-Salal vs Qatar SC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umm-Salal 42 / 100
Qatar SC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umm-Salal Qatar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Qatar SC conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Umm-Salal scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Umm-Salal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Umm-Salal VS Qatar SC
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Umm-Salal

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Khor
0 : 2
Umm-Salal
21 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 0
Al-Kharitiyath
07 Sept
Umm-Salal
1 : 5
Al Khor
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2
Umm-Salal
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
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Qatar SC

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Rayyan
2 : 2
Qatar SC
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Ahli
1 : 0
Qatar SC
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
20 Aug
Al Wakra
2 : 2
Qatar SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al-Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al-Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al-Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)