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Umraniyespor vs 1461 Trabzon

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2018/2019 Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu
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AI Match Summary

Umraniyespor play 1461 Trabzon in the Turkish Cup 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Umraniyespor averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. 1461 Trabzon averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Umraniyespor won 2, 1461 Trabzon won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 18, 2018 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Umraniyespor and 1.00 for 1461 Trabzon. This points to a Umraniyespor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Umraniyespor
25%
Draws
35%
1461 Trabzon
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Umraniyespor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Umraniyespor picked up more points recently compared to 1461 Trabzon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 23%
1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor 1461 Trabzon
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.41 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2018 Turkish Cup
1461 Trabzon vs Umraniyespor
3:1
Dec 5, 2018 Turkish Cup
Umraniyespor vs 1461 Trabzon
4:1
May 11, 2015 2. Lig White Group
Umraniyespor vs 1461 Trabzon
1:0
May 7, 2015 2. Lig White Group
1461 Trabzon vs Umraniyespor
2:0
Feb 8, 2015 2. Lig White Group
1461 Trabzon vs Umraniyespor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonulacar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acil M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

1461 Trabzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Oksuz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 41 / 100
1461 Trabzon 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor 1461 Trabzon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Umraniyespor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Umraniyespor attacking → ← attacking 1461 Trabzon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umraniyespor scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

1461 Trabzon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Umraniyespor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

1461 Trabzon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 34
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00