Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Umraniyespor vs 1461 Trabzon Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2018/2019 Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Eren A.
45' Event
Gonulacar M.
48' Event
Oksuz D.

AI Match Summary

Umraniyespor in this Turkish Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Umraniyespor
20%
Draws
40%
1461 Trabzon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Umraniyespor have won more games recently than 1461 Trabzon.
  • Model gives Umraniyespor a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Umraniyespor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Umraniyespor, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 20%
1461 Trabzon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor 1461 Trabzon
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.27 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 18, 2018 Turkish Cup
1461 Trabzon vs Umraniyespor
3:1
Dec 5, 2018 Turkish Cup
Umraniyespor vs 1461 Trabzon
4:1
May 11, 2015 2. Lig White Group
Umraniyespor vs 1461 Trabzon
1:0
May 7, 2015 2. Lig White Group
1461 Trabzon vs Umraniyespor
2:0
Feb 8, 2015 2. Lig White Group
1461 Trabzon vs Umraniyespor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonulacar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acil M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

1461 Trabzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Oksuz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 40 / 100
1461 Trabzon 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor 1461 Trabzon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umraniyespor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1461 Trabzon let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Umraniyespor scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: 1461 Trabzon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umraniyespor

(Home)
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0
Umraniyespor
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Keciorengucu
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 7

1461 Trabzon

(Away)
04 May
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
1461 Trabzon
28 Apr
1461 Trabzon
2 : 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
21 Apr
Buyukcekmece Gucu
2 : 1
1461 Trabzon
14 Apr
1461 Trabzon
0 : 2
Serik Spor
07 Apr
Bucaspor
1 : 2
1461 Trabzon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bucak Belediyesi 2
Bigaspor 1
TBD -
Kizilcabolukspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mamak -
Denizlispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cankaya FK -
TBD -
Guzide Gebzespor 2
Bozuyuk Vitraspor 3
Bucaspor 1928 -
TBD -
TBD -
Turgutlu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sivas Dort -
Rizespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarsus -
Bartinspor 2
Yenicagaspor 0
Altinova Belediyeapor 3
Cayirovaspor 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sariyer -
Pendikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altinordu -
Amedspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Balikesirspor -
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gumushanespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alibeykoy -
TBD -
TBD -
Silivrispor -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
TBD -
Golcukspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Giresunspor -
1461 Trabzon -
TBD -
TBD -
Ofspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tuzlaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bursaspor -
24Erzincanspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Hopaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Iskenderunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Adiyaman FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
Akhisarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afyonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cizrespor -
TBD -
1955 Batman Bld. 1
Siirt Ozel 2
1922 Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Altay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nevsehir -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirsehir SK -
Bitlis Ozguzeldere 2
Mardin 1969 1
Agri 1970 0
Igdir Aras Spor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastamonuspor -
Pazarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Bayburt Ozel Idare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manisaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 3
Odemisspor 2
TBD -
Hacettepe 1945 -
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corum FK -
TBD -
Kirikkale FK 1
Amasyaspor 3
Kemerspor 2003 -
TBD -
TBD -
Muglaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kahramanmarasspor -
Menemenspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sultanbeyli -
TBD -
Beylerbeyi SK 0
Maltepespor 1
Bayrampasa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
Batman Petrolspor -
TBD -
Musspor 0
Yuksekova 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Elazigspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankara Demirspor -
Manisa FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Vanspor FK -
TBD -
Serhat Ardahanspor 0
Sarikamis Genclerbirligi 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hacettepe SK -
Gaziosmanpasa 1
Edirnespor Genclik 0
TBD -
Tepecik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Sile Yildizspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanaspor AS -
Payasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozanspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boluspor -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dersim Spor -
TBD -
TBD -
Karakopru -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gaziantepspor -
52 Orduspor -
TBD -
Unye 1957 0
SinopSpor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bucaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Izmir Coruhlu -
Samsunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
23 Elazig FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sancaktepe -
Erokspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Ergene Velimese -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hatayspor -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catalca Spor -
TBD -
TBD -
Buyukcekmece Gucu -
Karaman FK 1
Yozgatspor 0
Mut Idmanyurdu 1
Aksaray Bld. 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etimesgut -
Ankaragucu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kale Bld. 1
Isparta 32 Spor 0
TBD -
Serik Spor -
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. -
TBD -
TBD -
Erbaaspor -
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigde Anadolu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gebzespor -
TBD -
1074 Cankirispor 2
Karadeniz Eregli 3
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Yomraspor -
Kardemir Karabuk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Duzcespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Korfez SK -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Darica Genclerbirligi -
Nazillispor -
TBD -
TBD -
Karsiyaka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tokatspor -
Kilis Bld. 3
Diyarbakir Yolspor 2
TBD -
Osmaniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankaraspor -
Cengelkoy SK 2
Cerkezkoy 1911 0
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe -
1/128-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bucak Belediyesi 3
Kizilcabolukspor 1
TBD -
Mamak -
Denizlispor -
TBD -
Cankaya FK 0
Bozuyuk Vitraspor 1
Bucaspor 1928 2
Turgutlu 1
TBD -
Sivas Dort -
Rizespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarsus -
Bartinspor 2
Cayirovaspor 1
TBD -
Sariyer -
Pendikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Altinordu -
Amedspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Balikesirspor -
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gumushanespor -
TBD -
Alibeykoy 0
Silivrispor 1
Kocaelispor 2
Golcukspor 0
TBD -
Giresunspor -
1461 Trabzon 2
Ofspor 1
TBD -
Tuzlaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bursaspor -
24Erzincanspor 1
Hopaspor 0
TBD -
Gaziantep -
Iskenderunspor 3
Adiyaman FK 0
TBD -
Umraniyespor -
Akhisarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afyonspor -
TBD -
Cizrespor 0
Siirt Ozel 3
1922 Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
F. Karagumruk -
Altay -
TBD -
Nevsehir 2
Kirsehir SK 3
Bitlis Ozguzeldere 1
Igdir Aras Spor 0
TBD -
Kastamonuspor -
Pazarspor 2
Bayburt Ozel Idare 0
TBD -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manisaspor -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor 0
Hacettepe 1945 1
Konyaspor -
TBD -
Corum FK 0
Amasyaspor 1
Kemerspor 2003 3
Muglaspor 2
TBD -
Kahramanmarasspor -
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Sultanbeyli 1
Maltepespor 2
Bayrampasa -
TBD -
TBD -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
Batman Petrolspor 1
Yuksekova 0
TBD -
Elazigspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Ankara Demirspor -
Manisa FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Keciorengucu -
Vanspor FK 2
Sarikamis Genclerbirligi 0
TBD -
Hacettepe SK -
Gaziosmanpasa 3
Tepecik 1
TBD -
Bandirmaspor -
Sile Yildizspor 3
Karacabey Bld. 2
TBD -
Adanaspor AS -
Payasspor 1
Kozanspor 0
TBD -
Boluspor -
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dersim Spor 3
Karakopru 2
TBD -
Gaziantepspor -
52 Orduspor 3
SinopSpor 2
TBD -
Adanademirspor -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Bucaspor 1
Izmir Coruhlu 2
Samsunspor -
TBD -
23 Elazig FK 0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 2
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Sancaktepe -
Erokspor 2
Ergene Velimese 1
TBD -
Hatayspor -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirklarelispor -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
Catalca Spor 1
Buyukcekmece Gucu 2
Karaman FK 2
Aksaray Bld. 1
TBD -
Etimesgut -
Ankaragucu -
TBD -
Kale Bld. 1
Serik Spor 4
Eskisehirspor -
TBD -
Fatsa Bld. 1
Erbaaspor 2
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigde Anadolu -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
Gebzespor 1
Karadeniz Eregli 2
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
Trabzon FK 0
Yomraspor 2
Kardemir Karabuk -
TBD -
Duzcespor 1
Korfez SK 2
Inegolspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Darica Genclerbirligi -
Nazillispor 2
Karsiyaka 0
TBD -
Tokatspor -
Kilis Bld. 2
Osmaniyespor 1
TBD -
Ankaraspor -
Cengelkoy SK 1
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 0
TBD -
Sakaryaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe -
1/64-finals
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Bucak Belediyesi 2
Mamak 3
Denizlispor 1
Bozuyuk Vitraspor 0
Bucaspor 1928 0
Sivas Dort 1
Rizespor 2
Tarsus 0
Bartinspor 1
Sariyer 2
Pendikspor 2
Altinordu 1
Amedspor 0
Balikesirspor 5
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gumushanespor 1
Silivrispor 0
Kocaelispor 2
Giresunspor 3
1461 Trabzon 3
Tuzlaspor 2
TBD -
Bursaspor -
24Erzincanspor 2
Gaziantep 1
Iskenderunspor 1
Umraniyespor 4
Akhisarspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afyonspor 2
Siirt Ozel 1
1922 Konyaspor 0
F. Karagumruk 2
Altay 3
Kirsehir SK 2
Bitlis Ozguzeldere 2
Kastamonuspor 3
Pazarspor 3
Eyupspor 1
TBD -
Kayserispor -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
Manisaspor 0
Hacettepe 1945 3
Konyaspor 5
Amasyaspor 2
Kemerspor 2003 0
Kahramanmarasspor 2
Menemenspor 2
Maltepespor 1
Bayrampasa 1
Zonguldak Komurspor 4
Batman Petrolspor 4
Elazigspor 0
TBD -
Kasimpasa -
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK 1
Ankara Demirspor 0
Manisa FK 1
Keciorengucu 2
Vanspor FK 4
Hacettepe SK 2
Gaziosmanpasa 0
Bandirmaspor 3
Sile Yildizspor 3
Adanaspor AS 2
Payasspor 1
Boluspor 4
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dersim Spor 1
Gaziantepspor 0
52 Orduspor 1
Adanademirspor 2
Genclerbirligi 2
Izmir Coruhlu 0
Samsunspor 0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 1
Fethiyespor 2
Sancaktepe 0
Erokspor 1
Hatayspor 2
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Kirklarelispor 4
Istanbulspor AS 3
Buyukcekmece Gucu 1
Karaman FK 1
Etimesgut 3
Ankaragucu 2
Serik Spor 1
Eskisehirspor 0
Erbaaspor 1
Sivasspor -
TBD -
Nigde Anadolu 0
Bodrumspor 4
Antalyaspor 3
Karadeniz Eregli 2
Sanliurfaspor 0
Yomraspor 1
Kardemir Karabuk 3
Korfez SK 0
Inegolspor 1
Darica Genclerbirligi 2
Nazillispor 5
Tokatspor 0
Kilis Bld. 1
Ankaraspor 4
Cengelkoy SK 2
Sakaryaspor 1
TBD -
Goztepe -
1/32-finals
Trabzonspor 2
Mamak 0
Denizlispor 2
Sivas Dort 3
Rizespor 2
Sariyer 1
Pendikspor 1
Balikesirspor 3
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
Gumushanespor 2
Giresunspor 3
1461 Trabzon 2
Bursaspor 1
24Erzincanspor 1
Umraniyespor 5
Akhisarspor -
TBD -
Afyonspor 0
F. Karagumruk 4
Altay 3
Kastamonuspor 2
Pazarspor 1
Kayserispor 6
Alanyaspor 3
Hacettepe 1945 1
Konyaspor 0
Kahramanmarasspor 3
Menemenspor 2
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Batman Petrolspor 2
Kasimpasa 3
Galatasaray -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK 2
Keciorengucu 3
Vanspor FK 1
Bandirmaspor 0
Sile Yildizspor 2
Boluspor 5
Basaksehir -
TBD -
Dersim Spor 1
Adanademirspor 3
Genclerbirligi 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 0
Fethiyespor 1
Hatayspor 3
Yeni Malatyaspor 1
Kirklarelispor 0
Istanbulspor AS 1
Etimesgut 2
Ankaragucu 1
Erbaaspor 0
Sivasspor 1
Bodrumspor 2
Antalyaspor 2
Yomraspor 1
Kardemir Karabuk 1
Darica Genclerbirligi 6
Nazillispor 3
Ankaraspor 2
Cengelkoy SK 0
Goztepe 4
1/16-finals
Trabzonspor 7
Sivas Dort 2
Rizespor 1
Balikesirspor 3
Fenerbahce 6
Giresunspor 2
1461 Trabzon 4
Umraniyespor 5
Akhisarspor 6
F. Karagumruk 1
Altay 2
Kayserispor 6
Alanyaspor 8
Kahramanmarasspor 4
Menemenspor 2
Kasimpasa 6
Galatasaray 3
Keciorengucu 2
Vanspor FK 3
Boluspor 7
Basaksehir 3
Adanademirspor 1
Genclerbirligi 2
Hatayspor 3
Yeni Malatyaspor 4
Etimesgut 0
Ankaragucu 5
Bodrumspor 6
Antalyaspor 3
Darica Genclerbirligi 2
Nazillispor 1
Goztepe 5
1/8-finals
Trabzonspor 5
Balikesirspor 2
Fenerbahce 0
Umraniyespor 2
Akhisarspor 2
Kayserispor 1
Alanyaspor 0
Kasimpasa 1
Galatasaray 5
Boluspor 1
Basaksehir 2
Hatayspor 4
Yeni Malatyaspor 5
Bodrumspor 3
Antalyaspor 3
Goztepe 6
Quarter-finals
Trabzonspor 1
Umraniyespor 3
Akhisarspor 5
Kasimpasa 2
Galatasaray 4
Hatayspor 4
Yeni Malatyaspor 2
Goztepe 1
Semi-finals
Umraniyespor 0
Akhisarspor 2
Galatasaray 5
Yeni Malatyaspor 2
Final
Akhisarspor 1
Galatasaray 3