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Umraniyespor vs Bandirmaspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Glumac T.
11' Event
Bulbul A. T.
Assist: Benny
19'
Sub
Ceylan O. In: Ciftci H.
Out: Ceylan O.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Lig 2025/2026 game between Umraniyespor and Bandirmaspor finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bandirmaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Umraniyespor
17%
Draws
70%
Bandirmaspor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bandirmaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Umraniyespor haven't matched Bandirmaspor's recent run of results.
  • Bandirmaspor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bandirmaspor have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 26%
Bandirmaspor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor Bandirmaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Bandirmaspor
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 1. Lig
Bandirmaspor vs Umraniyespor
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 1. Lig
Bandirmaspor vs Umraniyespor
2:0
Oct 5, 2024 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Bandirmaspor
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 1. Lig
Bandirmaspor vs Umraniyespor
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umraniyespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Bulbul A. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bandirmaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Acar E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 17 / 100
Bandirmaspor 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor Bandirmaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Umraniyespor scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bandirmaspor has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Umraniyespor stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Bandirmaspor
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Umraniyespor

(Home)
17 Jul
Umraniyespor
1 : 5
Galatasaray
02 May
Umraniyespor
1 : 4
Keciorengucu
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3
Umraniyespor
19 Apr
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Vanspor FK
13 Apr
Amedspor
2 : 2
Umraniyespor
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Bandirmaspor

(Away)
02 May
Bandirmaspor
1 : 0
Sivasspor
26 Apr
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 1
Bandirmaspor
19 Apr
Bandirmaspor
2 : 0
Amedspor
11 Apr
Bodrumspor
0 : 0
Bandirmaspor
07 Apr
Bandirmaspor
0 : 0
Sariyer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54
Promotion - Super Lig (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig 2025/2026 (Play Offs)