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Umraniyespor vs Istanbulspor AS

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2025/2026 Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umraniyespor play Istanbulspor AS in the 1. Lig 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Umraniyespor averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. Istanbulspor AS averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Umraniyespor won 1, Istanbulspor AS won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Umraniyespor and 1.25 for Istanbulspor AS. This points to a Istanbulspor AS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Umraniyespor
6%
Draws
90%
Istanbulspor AS
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Istanbulspor AS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Istanbulspor AS has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Umraniyespor.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Istanbulspor AS.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in 1. Lig 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 19%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Istanbulspor AS
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Umraniyespor
4:0
Feb 13, 2025 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Istanbulspor AS
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 1. Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Umraniyespor
3:0
Jun 7, 2023 Super Lig
Istanbulspor AS vs Umraniyespor
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 10 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor Istanbulspor AS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umraniyespor scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Istanbulspor AS let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Umraniyespor went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Istanbulspor AS lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Istanbulspor AS
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Erzurumspor FK382312382:2781
2Amedspor382111681:4274
3Erokspor382111681:3574
4Corum FK38218963:3971
5Bodrumspor3818101071:3964
6Pendikspor381615758:3363
7Keciorengucu3816121073:4360
8Bandirmaspor3816121047:3460
9Manisa FK381671557:5655
10Sivasspor3814111347:4353
11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:5552
12Sariyer381571644:4452
13Igdir FK3813111452:5450
14Vanspor FK3813101552:4749
15Boluspor381461861:5748
16Umraniyespor381371847:5146
17Serik Spor381162144:7539
18Sakaryaspor388102045:7234
19Hatayspor38282833:10214
20Adanademirspor38133422:169-54