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Umraniyespor vs Sivasspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu, Istanbul
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umraniyespor host Sivasspor in the 1. Lig. This one's hard to separate. Sivasspor have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Umraniyespor have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.07. Past meetings favor Umraniyespor slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.38) point toward Sivasspor. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Umraniyespor
35%
Draws
45%
Sivasspor
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sivasspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Sivasspor have won more games recently than Umraniyespor.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 17%
Sivasspor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umraniyespor Sivasspor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 1. Lig
Sivasspor vs Umraniyespor
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs Sivasspor
1:0
Jul 26, 2023 Club Friendly
Sivasspor vs Umraniyespor
2:0
May 7, 2023 Super Lig
Umraniyespor vs Sivasspor
4:1
Nov 12, 2022 Super Lig
Sivasspor vs Umraniyespor
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umraniyespor 31 / 100
Sivasspor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umraniyespor Sivasspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sivasspor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sivasspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Umraniyespor scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Umraniyespor went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umraniyespor VS Sivasspor
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Umraniyespor

(Home)
09 Oct
Umraniyespor
1 : 1
Sariyer
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1
Umraniyespor
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2
Antalyaspor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0
Umraniyespor
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
Page 1 of 6

Sivasspor

(Away)
13 Oct
Bandirmaspor
1 : 1
Sivasspor
09 Oct
Sivasspor
4 : 1
Pendikspor
19 Sept
Keciorengucu
1 : 1
Sivasspor
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Antalyaspor
1 : 2
Sivasspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 10 8 1 1 22:5 25
2 Bursaspor 10 7 1 2 20:9 22
3 Igdir FK 10 6 2 2 14:8 20
4 Batman Petrolspor 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Mardin 1969 10 5 3 2 12:6 18
6 Keciorengucu 10 4 5 1 19:10 17
7 Sariyer 10 4 3 3 13:14 15
8 Antalyaspor 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
9 Bandirmaspor 10 3 5 2 15:6 14
10 F. Karagumruk 10 3 4 3 13:13 13
11 Sivasspor 10 2 6 2 14:13 12
12 Muglaspor 10 2 6 2 9:11 12
13 Bodrumspor 10 2 5 3 11:9 11
14 Manisa FK 10 2 4 4 15:16 10
15 Pendikspor 10 2 4 4 12:19 10
16 Erokspor 10 1 6 3 6:11 9
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Vanspor FK 10 2 3 5 10:20 7
19 Istanbulspor AS 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)