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UNA Strassen vs Jeunesse Esch

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Perez N.
11'
Perez N.
18'
Teixeira J.

AI Match Summary

UNA Strassen in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNA Strassen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UNA Strassen
33%
Draws
27%
Jeunesse Esch
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: UNA Strassen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • UNA Strassen have won more games recently than Jeunesse Esch.
  • UNA Strassen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular BGL Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UNA Strassen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
UNA Strassen Clean Sheet 68%
Jeunesse Esch Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNA Strassen Jeunesse Esch
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Jeunesse Esch
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Esch vs UNA Strassen
0:2
May 4, 2025 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Esch vs UNA Strassen
3:2
Nov 24, 2024 BGL Ligue
UNA Strassen vs Jeunesse Esch
5:0
Apr 14, 2024 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Esch vs UNA Strassen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNA Strassen Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goncalves J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Jeunesse Esch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNA Strassen 50 / 100
Jeunesse Esch 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNA Strassen Jeunesse Esch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNA Strassen found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UNA Strassen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Jeunesse Esch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

UNA Strassen VS Jeunesse Esch
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bissen30205570:2765
2Differdange30198363:2265
3Mondorf30193851:2460
4UNA Strassen30177657:2658
5Dudelange30177659:3858
6Jeunesse Esch3010101035:3440
7Racing Luxembourg301171248:5040
8Kaerjeng301151443:4838
9Hostert301061435:5636
10Victoria Rosport301051533:5035
11Progres Niedercorn30971444:4734
12Hesperange30951631:4632
13Jeunesse Canach30941729:4431
14FC Mamer30851733:5929
15Union Titus Petange30671726:4925
16FC Rodange 9130671728:6525