Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNA vs Meerssen

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between UNA and Meerssen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Meerssen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
UNA
30%
Draws
47%
Meerssen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Meerssen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Meerssen have managed 1.3 goals a game lately — UNA are scoring more at 1.55.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
UNA Clean Sheet 14%
Meerssen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNA Meerssen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.62
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Meerssen
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Derde Divisie
Meerssen vs UNA
1:1
Mar 9, 2025 Derde Divisie
Meerssen vs UNA
2:4
Oct 6, 2024 Derde Divisie
UNA vs Meerssen
1:0
Jan 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Meerssen vs UNA
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNA 30 / 100
Meerssen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNA Meerssen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNA found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Meerssen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

UNA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNA VS Meerssen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.86
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

UNA

(Home)
13 Sept
UNA
1 : 4
Rijnvogels
06 Sept
Gemert
1 : 1
UNA
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2
UNA
30 Aug
UNA
4 : 1
EVV
22 Aug
VV Zwaluwen
1 : 1
UNA
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Meerssen

(Away)
07 Jul
Meerssen
2 : 1
Maastricht
23 May
UNA
1 : 2
Meerssen
16 May
Meerssen
1 : 1
Rijnvogels
10 May
GOES
3 : 4
Meerssen
25 Apr
Meerssen
0 : 2
VVSB
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)