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Unai EC vs Bosque Formosa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2021
Unai EC Logo

Unai EC

4 - 3
FT
Bosque Formosa Logo

Bosque Formosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Unai EC in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unai EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Unai EC
15%
Draws
0%
Bosque Formosa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unai EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Unai EC average 1.57 goals a game right now, well clear of Bosque Formosa's 1.37.
  • Unai EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 20%
Bosque Formosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unai EC Bosque Formosa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.57 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Bosque Formosa
4:3
Feb 2, 2020 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Unai EC
1:0
Feb 3, 2019 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Unai EC
1:1
Feb 13, 2018 Brasiliense
Bosque Formosa vs Unai EC
0:1
Apr 1, 2017 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Bosque Formosa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unai EC 85 / 100
Bosque Formosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unai EC Bosque Formosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unai EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bosque Formosa let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Bosque Formosa has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Unai EC's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Unai EC VS Bosque Formosa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Unai EC

(Home)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
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Bosque Formosa

(Away)
10 Apr
Bosque Formosa
0 : 2
Real Brasilia
06 Apr
Gama
2 : 0
Bosque Formosa
02 Apr
Bosque Formosa
1 : 6
Samambaia
12 Mar
Luziania
2 : 1
Bosque Formosa
27 Feb
Bosque Formosa
2 : 5
Taguatinga
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Gama 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Unai EC 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
4 Luziania 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
5 Real Brasilia 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
6 Samambaia 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 6 0 0 18:5 18
2 Capital 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
3 Ceilandia 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
5 Sobradinho 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
6 Bosque Formosa 6 0 0 6 7:21 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)