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Unai EC vs Capital

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Unai EC
20%
Draws
46%
Capital
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Capital

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Capital lately — more wins on the board than Unai EC.
  • Model gives Capital a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 20%
Capital Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unai EC Capital
Matches Played 30 49
Wins 9 28
Draws 7 15
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.57 2
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Brasiliense
Capital vs Unai EC
3:1
Apr 7, 2021 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Capital
2:2
Mar 14, 2020 Brasiliense
Capital vs Unai EC
1:1
Mar 20, 2019 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Capital
0:0
Mar 1, 2014 Brasiliense
Capital vs Unai EC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unai EC 10 / 100
Capital 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unai EC Capital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capital Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unai EC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Capital has conceded goals in 65% of their last 49 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Unai EC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Capital
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Unai EC

(Home)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
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Capital

(Away)
12 Jul
Capital
1 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
04 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 0
Capital
27 Jun
Capital
4 : 0
Aparecidense
20 Jun
Aparecidense
1 : 1
Capital
07 Jun
Capital
2 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 10

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Gama 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Unai EC 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
4 Luziania 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
5 Real Brasilia 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
6 Samambaia 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 6 0 0 18:5 18
2 Capital 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
3 Ceilandia 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
5 Sobradinho 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
6 Bosque Formosa 6 0 0 6 7:21 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)