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Unai EC vs Paranoa

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2022
Unai EC Logo

Unai EC

2 - 1
FT
Paranoa Logo

Paranoa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Unai EC in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unai EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Unai EC
15%
Draws
28%
Paranoa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unai EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Unai EC haven't matched Paranoa's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Unai EC a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 16%
Paranoa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Unai EC Paranoa
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2022 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Paranoa
2:1
Feb 5, 2020 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Paranoa
4:4
Mar 14, 2018 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Paranoa
2:0
Feb 15, 2017 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Paranoa
3:1
Mar 31, 2007 Brasiliense
Paranoa vs Unai EC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Unai EC 84 / 100
Paranoa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Unai EC Paranoa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unai EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Unai EC found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Paranoa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Away concern: Paranoa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paranoa
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Unai EC

(Home)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
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Paranoa

(Away)
28 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 6
Samambaia
21 Feb
Ceilandia
4 : 1
Paranoa
11 Feb
Paranoa
0 : 1
Brasiliense
07 Feb
Real Brasilia
4 : 5
Paranoa
31 Jan
Gama
4 : 1
Paranoa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 9 6 1 2 20:12 19
2 Capital 9 5 3 1 20:8 18
3 Brasiliense 9 5 1 3 23:12 16
4 Gama 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
5 Santa Maria 9 3 3 3 15:16 12
6 Paranoa 9 3 2 4 13:14 11
7 Brasilia FC (DF) 9 3 2 4 12:17 11
8 Taguatinga 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
9 Unai EC 9 2 3 4 12:15 9
10 Luziania 9 0 2 7 7:25 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2022 (Winners stage)