Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas U21 vs Cruz Azul U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas U21 host Cruz Azul U21 in the Liga MX U21. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. UNAM Pumas U21 have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Cruz Azul U21's 1.36 scored and 1.46 conceded. Past meetings favor UNAM Pumas U21 slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward UNAM Pumas U21. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UNAM Pumas U21
15%
Draws
42%
Cruz Azul U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAM Pumas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UNAM Pumas U21 come out ahead of Cruz Azul U21 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 16%
Cruz Azul U21 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas U21 Cruz Azul U21
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Cruz Azul U21
4:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga MX U21
Cruz Azul U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas U21 31 / 100
Cruz Azul U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas U21 Cruz Azul U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: UNAM Pumas U21 scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Cruz Azul U21 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Cruz Azul U21's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas U21 VS Cruz Azul U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas U21

(Home)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
Page 1 of 7

Cruz Azul U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
2 : 3
Toluca U21
19 Sept
Monterrey U21
2 : 0
Cruz Azul U21
12 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
1 : 2
Club America U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 10 7 0 3 18:12 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 10 6 0 4 16:14 18
5 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
6 Club America U21 10 5 0 5 14:14 15
7 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
8 Monterrey U21 9 5 0 4 19:13 14
9 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
10 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
11 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
12 Atlante U21 10 4 0 6 14:20 13
13 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
14 Atlas U21 10 3 0 7 13:13 12
15 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
16 Juarez U21 10 4 0 6 9:12 11
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 9 2 0 7 10:16 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)