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UNAM Pumas U21 vs Juarez U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
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Match Events

23' Event
Juarez Mendoza R.
75' Event
80' Event

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between UNAM Pumas U21 and Juarez U21 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
UNAM Pumas U21
15%
Draws
57%
Juarez U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Juarez U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UNAM Pumas U21 come out ahead of Juarez U21 on wins alone.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Juarez U21 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Juarez U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas U21 Juarez U21
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Juarez U21
3:2
Sep 23, 2025 Liga MX U21
Juarez U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Juarez U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Juarez Mendoza R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas U21 36 / 100
Juarez U21 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas U21 Juarez U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas U21 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Juarez U21 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Juarez U21 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas U21 VS Juarez U21
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas U21

(Home)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
28 Aug
Club Tijuana U21
2 : 1
UNAM Pumas U21
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Juarez U21

(Away)
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
27 Sept
Club Leon U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
18 Sept
Juarez U21
2 : 1
Tigres UANL U21
13 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 2
Juarez U21
04 Sept
Juarez U21
1 : 2
Pachuca U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)