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UNAM Pumas U21 vs Queretaro U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Mundo C.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Dominguez J.
66' Event
Ege B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between UNAM Pumas U21 and Queretaro U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UNAM Pumas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
UNAM Pumas U21
15%
Draws
28%
Queretaro U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAM Pumas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UNAM Pumas U21 come out ahead of Queretaro U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives UNAM Pumas U21 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and UNAM Pumas U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
UNAM Pumas U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Queretaro U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas U21 Queretaro U21
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 0
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.4 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Queretaro U21
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Liga MX U21
UNAM Pumas U21 vs Queretaro U21
2:1
Jul 25, 2025 Liga MX U21
Queretaro U21 vs UNAM Pumas U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Queretaro U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ege B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas U21 40 / 100
Queretaro U21 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas U21 Queretaro U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAM Pumas U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Queretaro U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

UNAM Pumas U21 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Queretaro U21 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas U21 VS Queretaro U21
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas U21

(Home)
11 Oct
UNAM Pumas U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
19 Sept
Atlas U21
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
06 Sept
UNAM Pumas U21
1 : 2
Club Leon U21
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Queretaro U21

(Away)
10 Oct
Queretaro U21
2 : 3
Atlante U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
20 Sept
Queretaro U21
0 : 2
Club Leon U21
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
29 Aug
Atlas U21
2 : 0
Queretaro U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 11 7 0 4 18:13 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 11 7 0 4 18:14 21
5 Club America U21 11 6 0 5 17:14 18
6 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
7 Atlante U21 11 5 0 6 17:22 16
8 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
9 Monterrey U21 10 5 0 5 19:16 14
10 Juarez U21 11 5 0 6 10:12 14
11 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
12 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
13 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
14 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
15 Atlas U21 11 3 0 8 13:15 12
16 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 10 2 0 8 12:19 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)