Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas vs Atletico San Luis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Salles-Lamonge S.
(Penalty)
45'
Macias O.
45'
Huerta Valera C. S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between UNAM Pumas and Atletico San Luis finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico San Luis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
UNAM Pumas
15%
Draws
59%
Atletico San Luis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico San Luis's 1.62 goals per match outpaces what UNAM Pumas have produced (1.5).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 18%
Atletico San Luis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas Atletico San Luis
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Atletico San Luis
2:3
Apr 18, 2026 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs UNAM Pumas
0:2
Oct 23, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Atletico San Luis
0:1
Feb 3, 2025 Liga MX
Atletico San Luis vs UNAM Pumas
2:3
Oct 20, 2024 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Atletico San Luis
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Atletico San Luis Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 32 / 100
Atletico San Luis 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas Atletico San Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico San Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

UNAM Pumas scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Atletico San Luis let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: UNAM Pumas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS Atletico San Luis
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas

(Home)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

Atletico San Luis

(Away)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
15 Sept
Club Leon
2 : 0
Atletico San Luis
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis
0 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas
31 Aug
Monterrey
1 : 3
Atletico San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
5 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
9 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
12 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
13 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
14 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
15 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)