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UNAM Pumas vs Cruz Azul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
01:10 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cruz Azul have shipped 1.4 goals a game lately, while UNAM Pumas have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.52. Head-to-head, UNAM Pumas have won 1 to Cruz Azul's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 25, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.56, favoring Cruz Azul. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UNAM Pumas
30%
Draws
39%
Cruz Azul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cruz Azul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cruz Azul carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Liga MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 15%
Cruz Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas Cruz Azul
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Cruz Azul
1:2
May 22, 2026 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs UNAM Pumas
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Cruz Azul
2:2
Nov 9, 2025 Liga MX
Cruz Azul vs UNAM Pumas
2:3
Oct 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Cruz Azul vs UNAM Pumas
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 31 / 100
Cruz Azul 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas Cruz Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cruz Azul let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

UNAM Pumas scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

UNAM Pumas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS Cruz Azul
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas

(Home)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
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Cruz Azul

(Away)
02 Oct
Club America
0 : 0
Cruz Azul
26 Sept
Cruz Azul
3 : 3
Toluca
20 Sept
Monterrey
1 : 0
Cruz Azul
17 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 0
Cruz Azul
13 Sept
Cruz Azul
4 : 3
Club America
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)