Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAM Pumas vs Necaxa

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Vite P.
46'
Sub
Juninho In: Herrera L.
Out: Juninho
46'
Sub
Vite P. In: Luna I.
Out: Vite P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
UNAM Pumas
35%
Draws
19%
Necaxa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UNAM Pumas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UNAM Pumas lately — more wins on the board than Necaxa.
  • Win probability leans UNAM Pumas's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 17%
Necaxa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas Necaxa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Necaxa
1:1
Mar 7, 2026 Liga MX
Necaxa vs UNAM Pumas
0:1
Aug 11, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Necaxa
1:1
Jan 12, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Necaxa
2:1
Sep 14, 2024 Liga MX
Necaxa vs UNAM Pumas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Herrera L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Necaxa Compare

Top Goalscorer Carranza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 39 / 100
Necaxa 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas Necaxa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAM Pumas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Necaxa let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

UNAM Pumas scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

UNAM Pumas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS Necaxa
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas

(Home)
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
24 Aug
UNAM Pumas
1 : 1
Necaxa
Page 1 of 6

Necaxa

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis
3 : 1
Necaxa
12 Sept
Necaxa
0 : 1
Puebla
06 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 1
Necaxa
29 Aug
Necaxa
1 : 3
Cruz Azul
24 Aug
UNAM Pumas
1 : 1
Necaxa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 9 6 1 2 20:9 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas 9 5 3 1 17:8 18
3 Club America 8 5 2 1 17:8 17
4 Cruz Azul 9 5 0 4 16:15 15
5 Queretaro 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
6 Club Tijuana 8 4 2 2 12:10 14
7 Club Leon 9 4 2 3 12:10 14
8 Puebla 9 4 2 3 11:11 14
9 Atlas 9 4 2 3 13:15 14
10 Monterrey 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
11 Pachuca 9 3 3 3 15:10 12
12 UNAM Pumas 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
13 Atletico San Luis 9 2 3 4 11:16 9
14 Atlante 9 1 5 3 8:13 8
15 Necaxa 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
16 Tigres UANL 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
17 Santos Laguna 9 2 1 6 9:15 7
18 Juarez 9 1 0 8 6:23 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)