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UNAM Pumas vs Queretaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
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Match Events

2'
Paulo Victor
58'
Sub
Alcala A. In: Duenas E.
Out: Alcala A.
59'
Sub
Paulo Victor In: Madrid W.
Out: Paulo Victor

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga MX matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
UNAM Pumas
20%
Draws
61%
Queretaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Queretaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • UNAM Pumas haven't matched Queretaro's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Queretaro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 18%
Queretaro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas Queretaro
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Queretaro
0:0
Jan 11, 2026 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Queretaro
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs UNAM Pumas
0:2
Jan 19, 2025 Liga MX
Queretaro vs UNAM Pumas
3:2
Nov 6, 2024 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Queretaro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 12 / 100
Queretaro 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas Queretaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Queretaro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UNAM Pumas scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Queretaro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

UNAM Pumas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS Queretaro
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas

(Home)
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
11 Sept
UNAM Pumas
3 : 1
Club Leon
29 Aug
Club Tijuana
2 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

Queretaro

(Away)
10 Oct
Queretaro
2 : 0
Atlante
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
21 Sept
Queretaro
1 : 1
Club Leon
12 Sept
Club Tijuana
0 : 1
Queretaro
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
2 Toluca 11 6 2 3 25:15 20
3 Queretaro 10 6 2 2 15:8 20
4 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
5 Club Leon 11 5 3 3 15:12 18
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
9 Puebla 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Tigres UANL 11 3 4 4 13:15 13
12 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
13 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
14 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
15 Atlante 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 11 1 1 9 8:26 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)