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UNAM Pumas vs San Diego FC

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Champions Cup Estadio Olímpico Universitario
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AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas play San Diego FC in the CONCACAF Champions Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, UNAM Pumas averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. San Diego FC averaged 2 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, UNAM Pumas won 1, San Diego FC won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 11, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for UNAM Pumas and 1.69 for San Diego FC. This points to a UNAM Pumas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
UNAM Pumas
20%
Draws
38%
San Diego FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UNAM Pumas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • San Diego FC demonstrates higher offensive output (2 avg goals) than UNAM Pumas (1.75 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for UNAM Pumas.
  • Cup tournament structure in CONCACAF Champions Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 13%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas San Diego FC
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
UNAM Pumas vs San Diego FC
1:0
Feb 4, 2026 CONCACAF Champions Cup
San Diego FC vs UNAM Pumas
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAM Pumas Compare

Top Goalscorer Vite P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

San Diego FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 40 / 100
San Diego FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas San Diego FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas scored in 93% of their last 27 games.

San Diego FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

UNAM Pumas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Diego FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS San Diego FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Toluca-
TBD-
UNAM Pumas2
San Diego FC4
Mount Pleasant-
TBD-
Los Angeles Galaxy1
Sporting San Miguelito1
Cruz Azul8
Vancouver FC0
Monterrey3
Xelaju1
Alajuelense-
TBD-
Los Angeles FC7
Real Espana1
Inter Miami-
TBD-
Nashville SC7
Atletico Ottawa0
Club America2
Olimpia1
Philadelphia Union12
Defence Force0
Tigres UANL4
Forge FC1
FC Cincinnati13
Universidad O&M0
Seattle Sounders-
TBD-
Vancouver Whitecaps2
Cartagines0
1/8-finals
Toluca6
San Diego FC3
Mount Pleasant0
Los Angeles Galaxy6
Cruz Azul4
Monterrey3
Alajuelense2
Los Angeles FC3
Inter Miami1
Nashville SC1
Club America2
Philadelphia Union1
Tigres UANL5
FC Cincinnati4
Seattle Sounders5
Vancouver Whitecaps1
Quarter-finals
Toluca7
Los Angeles Galaxy2
Cruz Azul1
Los Angeles FC4
Nashville SC1
Club America0
Tigres UANL3
Seattle Sounders3
Semi-finals
Toluca5
Los Angeles FC2
Nashville SC0
Tigres UANL2
Final
Toluca2
Tigres UANL1