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UNAM Pumas vs Tigres UANL - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Olímpico Universitario, Mexico City
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:10 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UNAM Pumas host Tigres UANL in the Liga MX. This one's hard to separate. Tigres UANL have shipped 1.16 goals a game lately, while UNAM Pumas have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.53. Past meetings favor Tigres UANL slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.38) point toward Tigres UANL. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
UNAM Pumas
35%
Draws
40%
Tigres UANL
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tigres UANL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tigres UANL lately — more wins on the board than UNAM Pumas.
  • UNAM Pumas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
UNAM Pumas Clean Sheet 17%
Tigres UANL Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAM Pumas Tigres UANL
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs UNAM Pumas
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Tigres UANL
1:1
Apr 20, 2025 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs UNAM Pumas
2:1
Sep 1, 2024 Liga MX
UNAM Pumas vs Tigres UANL
1:3
Feb 4, 2024 Liga MX
Tigres UANL vs UNAM Pumas
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAM Pumas 41 / 100
Tigres UANL 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAM Pumas Tigres UANL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UNAM Pumas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tigres UANL let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: UNAM Pumas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UNAM Pumas VS Tigres UANL
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAM Pumas

(Home)
17 Oct
Atlante
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
12 Oct
UNAM Pumas
3 : 3
Cruz Azul
27 Sept
UNAM Pumas
2 : 3
Atletico San Luis
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

Tigres UANL

(Away)
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 1
Tigres UANL
10 Oct
Tigres UANL
3 : 2
Toluca
27 Sept
Tigres UANL
1 : 0
Puebla
19 Sept
Juarez
2 : 0
Tigres UANL
13 Sept
Monterrey
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 11 7 3 1 27:14 24
2 Toluca 12 6 3 3 26:16 21
3 Atlas 12 6 3 3 19:18 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas 12 5 5 2 19:12 20
5 Cruz Azul 12 6 2 4 27:21 20
6 Queretaro 11 6 2 3 15:13 20
7 Club Leon 12 5 3 4 18:17 18
8 Monterrey 11 5 2 4 19:16 17
9 Santos Laguna 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
10 Club Tijuana 11 4 4 3 15:14 16
11 UNAM Pumas 12 4 4 4 19:20 16
12 Puebla 12 4 4 4 12:13 16
13 Tigres UANL 12 3 5 4 14:16 14
14 Pachuca 12 3 4 5 19:16 13
15 Atletico San Luis 12 3 4 5 16:21 13
16 Atlante 12 2 5 5 13:19 11
17 Necaxa 12 2 3 7 15:25 9
18 Juarez 12 1 1 10 8:31 4
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)