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UNAN-Managua vs Diriangen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
0 - 2
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
42' Event
45' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

UNAN-Managua host Diriangen in the Liga Primera. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. UNAN-Managua have averaged 1.17 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Diriangen's 2.08 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, UNAN-Managua have won 0 to Diriangen's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Diriangen. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
UNAN-Managua
20%
Draws
47%
Diriangen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diriangen come out ahead of UNAN-Managua on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga Primera form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Diriangen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 20%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua Diriangen
Matches Played 29 36
Wins 12 22
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.17 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs UNAN-Managua
1:1
Mar 5, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Diriangen
1:2
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs UNAN-Managua
3:1
Oct 20, 2025 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs UNAN-Managua
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Diriangen
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 36 / 100
Diriangen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua Diriangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

UNAN-Managua's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Diriangen conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.

UNAN-Managua went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS Diriangen
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAN-Managua

(Home)
12 Oct
Rancho Santana
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
08 Oct
UNAN-Managua
1 : 0
Esteli
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
Page 1 of 6

Diriangen

(Away)
11 Oct
Diriangen
2 : 4
Walter Ferreti
07 Oct
San Marcos
1 : 2
Diriangen
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 11 9 2 0 34:10 29
2 Diriangen 11 8 2 1 24:11 26
3 Esteli 11 6 3 2 21:8 21
4 UNAN-Managua 11 6 3 2 13:8 21
5 Sport Sebaco 10 4 2 4 11:17 14
6 Walter Ferreti 11 3 2 6 18:20 11
7 San Marcos 11 3 1 7 9:18 10
8 Matagalpa 10 3 0 7 5:20 9
9 Rancho Santana 11 1 3 7 9:21 6
10 Jalapa 11 1 2 8 6:17 5
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)