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UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Villalobos O.
68' Event
Palacios R.
90' Event
Palacios R.

AI Match Summary

UNAN-Managua in this Liga Primera matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAN-Managua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
UNAN-Managua
15%
Draws
8%
Jalapa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Jalapa have won more games recently than UNAN-Managua.
  • Model gives UNAN-Managua a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 20%
Jalapa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua Jalapa
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa
2:1
Apr 8, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa
2:4
Feb 9, 2026 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs UNAN-Managua
0:0
Oct 23, 2025 Liga Primera
Jalapa vs UNAN-Managua
5:0
Aug 9, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Jalapa
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Jalapa Compare

Top Goalscorer Villalobos O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 85 / 100
Jalapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua Jalapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAN-Managua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

UNAN-Managua scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Jalapa let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: UNAN-Managua stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS Jalapa
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAN-Managua

(Home)
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
17 Aug
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Jalapa
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Jalapa

(Away)
05 Sept
San Marcos
3 : 1
Jalapa
02 Sept
Jalapa
1 : 1
Rancho Santana
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Jalapa
0 : 1
Matagalpa
17 Aug
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Jalapa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Managua FC 9 7 2 0 27:9 23
2 Diriangen 9 7 2 0 20:6 23
3 Esteli 9 5 3 1 17:6 18
4 UNAN-Managua 9 5 2 2 11:7 17
5 Sport Sebaco 9 3 2 4 9:17 11
6 San Marcos 9 3 1 5 8:14 10
7 Matagalpa 9 3 0 6 4:16 9
8 Walter Ferreti 9 2 1 6 12:16 7
9 Rancho Santana 9 1 2 6 7:14 5
10 Jalapa 9 1 1 7 4:14 4
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera (Apertura - Winners)