Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UNAN-Managua vs Matiguas FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Perez J.
77' Event
Calderon J.
90' Event
Gomez R.

AI Match Summary

UNAN-Managua in this Liga Primera 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UNAN-Managua
25%
Draws
35%
Matiguas FC
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • UNAN-Managua have won more games recently than Matiguas FC.
  • Win probability leans UNAN-Managua's way, sitting at 60%.
  • UNAN-Managua have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor UNAN-Managua, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 20%
Matiguas FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua Matiguas FC
Matches Played 31 2
Wins 12 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 2
Goals Scored 1.23 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Matiguas FC
2:1
May 17, 2026 Liga Primera
Matiguas FC vs UNAN-Managua
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Calderon J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gomez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Matiguas FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 58 / 100
Matiguas FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua Matiguas FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAN-Managua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matiguas FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

UNAN-Managua's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: UNAN-Managua stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS Matiguas FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAN-Managua

(Home)
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
17 Aug
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Jalapa
Page 1 of 7

Matiguas FC

(Away)
24 May
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Matiguas FC
17 May
Matiguas FC
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
UNAN-Managua 3
Matiguas FC 1