Sport Picks

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UNAN-Managua vs Ocotal

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Santana M.
36' Event
Peralta N.
40' Event
Lemus F.

AI Match Summary

UNAN-Managua in this Liga Primera 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UNAN-Managua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
UNAN-Managua
15%
Draws
21%
Ocotal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UNAN-Managua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ocotal haven't matched UNAN-Managua's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on UNAN-Managua taking it.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
UNAN-Managua Clean Sheet 20%
Ocotal Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UNAN-Managua Ocotal
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.32 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Ocotal
4:0
Feb 15, 2025 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs UNAN-Managua
3:2
Nov 18, 2024 Liga Primera
Ocotal vs UNAN-Managua
1:0
Sep 20, 2024 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Ocotal
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 Liga Primera
UNAN-Managua vs Ocotal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UNAN-Managua Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Peralta N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ocotal Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UNAN-Managua 85 / 100
Ocotal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UNAN-Managua Ocotal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNAN-Managua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ocotal conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

UNAN-Managua's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

UNAN-Managua has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UNAN-Managua VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UNAN-Managua

(Home)
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
04 Sept
Matagalpa
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
31 Aug
UNAN-Managua
0 : 2
Managua FC
24 Aug
Walter Ferreti
0 : 1
UNAN-Managua
17 Aug
UNAN-Managua
2 : 1
Jalapa
Page 1 of 7

Ocotal

(Away)
30 Apr
Ocotal
0 : 2
Diriangen
27 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 1
Ocotal
17 Apr
Esteli
3 : 2
Ocotal
13 Apr
UNAN-Managua
4 : 0
Ocotal
07 Apr
Ocotal
2 : 0
Rancho Santana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteli 18 15 1 2 42:17 46
2 Managua FC 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
3 Diriangen 18 11 2 5 34:21 35
4 Walter Ferreti 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
5 Sport Sebaco 18 6 5 7 19:23 23
6 Matagalpa 18 5 6 7 25:30 21
7 UNAN-Managua 18 5 5 8 20:28 20
8 Jalapa 18 4 6 8 18:25 18
9 Rancho Santana 18 3 6 9 15:26 15
10 Ocotal 18 3 3 12 18:40 12
Promotion - Liga Primera 2024/2025 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2024/2025 (Clausura - Winners)